It’s crunch time for the final three players as the winners of part 1 and part 2 of the final Head of Household Competition have been determined. Though there is not much game left to play, there are still are a few questions left to answer, like “who will win the season?”
To try to figure out that question, let’s examine the different ways this year’s finale could play out.
Nicole Anthony Vs. Jackson Michie
With Nicole Anthony no longer having the power to decide her own fate, it comes down to whether Jackson Michie and Holly Allen might betray each other and take her to the finale. This scenario only happens if Jackson won the final Head of Household Competition and evicted Holly.
On paper, Jackson has won a ridiculous amounts of competitions. However, his social game was definitely terrible towards the end of the game. He sent people out to the jury house with very valid reasons to be angry with him. He made one of the best moves of the season by lying on Tommy Bracco to keep Holly in the game. It was good, because it helped ensure his ticket to finals, but it left a huge game scar on Tommy. He then preached loyalty, honesty, and being a man of his word, only to betray his word to Cliff Hogg III. Then instead of apologizing and owning up to his mistakes, he proceeded to preach even more at Cliff in his goodbye speech. Christie Murphy and Analyse Talavera were already not fans of Jackson as they left the game, so hearing his Tommy betrayal has to add an additional layer of resentment.
Most of the jurors weren’t fans of Nicole throughout the game, but she slowly changed their perception of her towards the end of it. They saw her as the rootable underdog who won competitions when necessary, navigated her way through a house of sharks, and found a place among the heavy hitters still in the game.
Now in this scenario, Jackson had to commit the ultimate betrayal against Holly, which is bound to upset her, in addition to Kathryn Dunn and possibly even Jessica Milagros. However, we don’t see Jack Matthews and Nick Maccarone changing loyalties toward Jackson in any scenario. When the votes are revealed, we expect them to go as followed:
Jack votes for Jackson
Kat votes for Nicole
Analyse votes for Jackson
Nick votes for Jackson
Jessica votes for Nicole
Christie votes for Nicole
Tommy votes for Nicole
Cliff votes for Nicole
Holly votes for Nicole
Nicole wins 6 to 3
Holly Allen vs Nicole Anthony
The only way for this scenario to come into play is if Holly won the final Head of Household and took Nicole to the finals instead of Jackson. We expect the jury to have the opposite reaction to this move by Holly than they would if Jackson cut her instead. We expect her to gain some respect from the jury members, especially those who might not have seen her as a critical player in the latter half of the game. Jackson will likely be bitter (as we expect Holly to be if he cuts her) and that could cost her his vote. We think Kat is most likely a vote for Holly no matter what scenario, especially considering how she had a close friendship with Holly most of the season, and kind of had a big falling out with Nicole towards the end of her time in the game.
We expect the votes to go as followed in this situation:
Jack votes for Holly
Kat votes for Holly
Analyse votes for Holly
Jess votes for Holly
Christie votes for Nicole
Tommy votes for Nicole
Nick votes for Holly
Cliff votes for Nicole
Jackson votes for Nicole
Holly wins by 5 to 4
This scenario could easily flip the other way around, because Nicole and Nick were close all season and Holly was the person who took him out of the game. The only reason I think Nick might be swayed to vote Holly over Nicole is because he talked a lot about respecting Jackson and her both as game players, and of all the players, he seems like one that would really respect Holly for making the ruthless move of taking out her showmance partner.
Jackson Michie vs Holly Allen
This is the scenario that we’re might likely heading towards on Wednesday’s finale. The outcome of this vote really comes down to how the jurors see Jackson and Holly. Do they see Jackson as being someone who played a little too ruthless? Is Holly seen as someone who just coasted? What do they value more? Competition wins or social game?
This one is going to be very hard to predict, at least until we get a better glimpse of the Big Brother 21 jury round-rable. We think the votes might go as followed:
Jack votes for Jackson
Kat votes for Holly
Analyse votes for Jackson
Nick votes for Jackson
Jess votes for Holly
Christie votes for Jackson
Tommy votes for Jackson
Cliff votes for Holly
Nicole votes for Jackson
Jackson wins 6 to 3.
We could be surprised with a clean sweep for Jackson or one for Holly. However, we think the critical votes for this voting will come down to Analyse, Christie, Tommy, Cliff, and Nicole. We believe that Nicole is voting for Jackson to win in the end. She seems to respect his game more than Holly’s game, but depending on how the next few days play out, she could change her mind. Cliff said he might give Jackson his vote, but we think Jackson’s goodbye speech will shift his focus more towards a Holly win. Christie hated Jackson, but we think she respects him a little more than she respects Holly as a player. We don’t think Tommy will be bitter, and he’ll respect Jackson was willing to go that far to win the game. He’ll respect his love and passion for the game.
Analyse and Jack are probably a voting unit. We can’t see them voting opposite ways, and Jack has been pro-Jackson from the beginning, so he’ll get Analyse to vote the same way as him.
This is really one of those seasons where he have no clue how the jury will vote until they start casting their votes to win. There are so many factors left to see play out in the next couple days. We can’t wait to see how everything unfolds.
Give us your best guess of who wins in each scenario!
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